Most widely held works by Jan Bogusław Gajda. Ekonometria praktyczna by Jan Bogusław Gajda(Book) 4 editions published between and in Polish. Jan gajda malgorzata grocholinska michal kasiel natalia lobejko karina lysakowska oliwier malinowski sandra papis natalia piekarska bartosz rutkowski jan. Course coordinators. Jan Gajda Gajda J., Prognozowanie i symulacje a decyzje gospodarcze, wyd. C. H. Beck, Warszawa Ekonometria. Prognozowanie.
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Jsn evaluation of the econometric model verification of appropriate statistical hypotheses, methods for assessing the goodness ekonlmetria model estimation.
Definition of forecasts and simulation. Assumptions of the stochastic structure of the model, examination of the properties of the random component, selection of estimators, selection of the estimation method. Discrete event simulation — steady-state models. The subject learning outcomes for the form of lecture and exercises: Additional information registration calendar, class conductors, localization and schedules of classesmight be available in the USOSweb system: Non-measurable factors in econometric models.
Student is able to: Generating values from a statistical distribution. Additional information registration calendar, class conductors, localization and schedules of classesmight be available in the USOSweb system: Structural and non-structural models. Forecasting based on an econometric model. Discrete event simulation — dynamic simulation and simulation of the next event.
On-line services of the University of Warsaw. Additional information registration calendar, class conductors, localization and schedules of classesmight be available in the USOSweb system:.
Using dynamic simulation to improve production. Showing them examples of practical use of econometric methods. Using formulas in Excel — overview.
Beck, Warszawa, Welfe A. Measurement of forecasting error ex ante and ex post. Discrete event simulation — dynamic simulations model changes in a system in response to input signals. Introduction to optimization with the Excel Solver tool. Part I by Clopper Almon A. Verification of the econometric model, economic interpretation of the estimation results. Introduction to discrete event simulation — simple simulation, simulation on the crate.
Modeling factors and objectives 2. Placet, Warszawa 5.
Written report should be submitted. The main objective of the course is acquainting students with the simulation and forecasts methods. An example of the seasonality of economic phenomena. Analysis with basic statistic. On-line services of the University of Warsaw You are not logged in log in. Skills of building and estimating econometric models and using them in practice.
Additional information registration calendar, class conductors, localization and schedules of classesmight be available in the USOSweb system:.
Factors of material consumption, labor consumption and their interpretation. Beck, Warszawa 2. There will be oral presentation of the project made during the last ekonometrua of classes. Structure of links and multi-equation classification 3. The least-squares method in the matrix notation, properties of the MNK estimators. The main aim of the laboratory is to familiarize students with practice of econometric modelling.
The implementations and limitations of naive models.
Faculty of Economics and Sociology. Ability of analysing input-output models.
Methods of estimation of econometric models, conditions of their applicability. Building a worksheet-based simple simulation. Heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation of a random component, testing of nan hypotheses.
Neural networks in forecasting. Generalized least ekohometria method. Time series decomposition seasonality, trend, error. Descriptive econometric models – general characteristics and examples of applications. Almon, The Craft of Economic Modeling. Evaluation is based on tutorial exercises and individually prepared project at the end of the semester. Total for the subject: Sampling from probability distributions — inverse transform method.
Intermediate flows and balance models. There will be also theoretical written exam.